The constitution of the new College of Commissioners depends on the elections in Germany and on the Irish referendum. Therefore, the team will be known in mid-October at the soonest, European ECFR think tank researcher Ulrike Guerot says. The specialty of the one proposed for the role of commissioner counts more than the political affiliation. Romania is leading more difficult negotiations due to the lack in European policies performance.

Ulrike Guerot believes that there is still a chance for Jose Manuel Barroso to miss the European commission nomination because there are people in the European Parliament who think Barroso should not be named EC president. According to her, the Parliament might have bigger decision prerogatives when it comes to the Commission's constitution if the Lisbon Treaty is modified. Barroso is told to have neglected the Parliament's main political groups when it came for his second mandate.

According to the researcher, there have been other names circulating. Daniel Cohn-Bendit, the Green leader, mentioned Guy Verhofstadt when he launched his anti-Barroso campaign. Ulrike Guerot believes he has good chances: "The British see him more pro-European than federalist, but the secret of this game is to not make certain names public too soon, to burn them. I've learnt in the past years that the names making public discussions too early are the ones which will not win. Five years ago, Barroso was announced in the last moment", she added, believing the name of the new EC president will be learnt in the last moment.Ulrike Guerot consider it wise for the EC president to belong to the dominant movement of the Parliament, therefore she suggests a moderate conservative or a moderate liberal. But with Germany holding elections on September 27, it is less likely that this country will nominate anyone before the elections. It is the n