The Romanian National Bank has a forex reserve nearly double as high as Romania's short-term external debt, and can be considered excessive when compared with that of other central banks in the region, after having received nearly 10 billion euros from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) in the past two years via an arrangement concluded precisely out of fear that the reserve may not be high enough to cover the debt in case of an external shock.
The reserve became so big that, all of a sudden, the NBR decided it no longer wanted money from the IMF, so Romania will not draw the last 1 billion-euro instalment of the loan. In other words, the loan taken out proved to be bigger than needed, especially since 3.5 billion euros went straight into the budget instead of going into the NBR's reserve. But it is still the NBR who will have to pay back the money taken out from the IMF.
"As far as forex reserves are concerned, things have been good for some time. The reserves have been kept at this level in order to calm the financial markets, which had become too jittery," comments financial analyst Aurelian Dochia. He believes aside from the high level of forex reserves, the last instalment of the IMF loan was no longer important also because economic forecasts point to an economic improvement in 2011.
The NBR reserves amounted to around 35.9 billion euros at the end of January, which includes the 3.2 billion-euro value of the 103.7 tonnes of gold.
The Romanian National Bank has a forex reserve nearly double as high as Romania's short-term external debt, and can be considered excessive when compared with that of other central banks in the region, after having received nearly 10 billion euros from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) in the past two years via an arrangement concluded precisely out of fear that the reserve may not be high
