Somehow I can't entertain the idea of a popular revolution that would end with the rule of a dynasty that maintains Cuba in a state of economic stagnation and hopelessness by using all kinds of repression.
I admit that there are grounds that could incite a revolution, but, on the other hand, there are no ways of getting a large number of citizens involved.
Take, for example, the poor internet access and the limited number of cell phone users; there's no wonder that the the ports of scepticism get filled every time an analyst predicts that there will be a series of mass protests demanding transition to democracy. But it's not only that. We mustn't forget that the entire area of communications is fully controlled by the government, which won't hesitate a minute to eavesdrop or close websites and blogs (whether temporarily or definitely), which is far from justifiable.
There is no doubt that rumbles of discontent on the part of the population have increased. Yet, the outrages are isolated and can be thought of rather in terms of a passing catharsis than seen as a determined attempt to get involved in a movement for a change.
The most important thing in Cuba is still the necessity to find ways to survive, mostly by taking part in illegal activities ranging from corruption through sex trafficking to various kinds of illicit deeds not thought of by even the most experienced observers.
Current economic conditions greatly differ from the situation in the first half of the 1990s. Severe shortage of food, electricity cuts, uncontrollable inflation, proliferation of diseases due to bad nourishment, as well as almost complete paralysis of transport due to lack of fuel have given rise to a number of popular resistance attempts in Havana, all of which, however, have been subdued.
Most of the protesting Cubans want
