All newspapers on Friday focus on finances, either wondering what it will cost us to give up the IMF or the IMF threatening not to release any money if the ordinance on credits is not changed. Another newspaper tackles the consequences of changing the ordinance. Elsewhere in the news, Hungary is accused by UN human rights experts of discriminating against gypsies.
Romania libera proposes an analysis of the costs incurred if Romania would give up the IMF. For economic freedom, Romania should pay an extra interest rate of 1-2 billion euro/year and if the government will not be more credible than under the IMF umbrella, a decision to give up the agreement would lead to major economic problems.
As tensions increase between the IMF and the executive because the IMF imposes measures that Romanian officials have problems accepting and vice versa, the new agreement due to be signed in April does not seem to be such a good idea.
However, without a new agreement, Romania will have to pay extra: for next year, it will have to pay 13.2 billion euro of which a tenth f the sum are interest rates. Plus, the government will also have to finance the budgetary deficit.
Theoretically, the state would have to get a loan to pay its dues. If it did, the situation would become worse. If it will have to pay just interest rates of 2 billion euro, the decision to give up the new agreement would double the interest rates.
If the financial burden could be overcome, some other dangerous consequences might appear, economists consulted by the newspaper concluded. Experts agree that a new agreement would be favorable for the country.
Aurelian Dochia considers that the risk of giving up a new agreement would be, among others: instability of the currency, access on international markets, and credibility for investors. He declared however, t